October 26, 2026

1 thought on “Latin America’s Low Productivity”

  1. Tom, I agree that GDP is directly related to productivity. Productivity is the only way to increase real wealth in an economy with a relatively fixed population. However, the answer is not better education, although, of course, it would help in many ways. Rather the simple solution you are looking for is not difficult to find. Simply look at Hong Kong (HK) as, arguably, the most successful economy in your lifetime.

    Hong Kong stands out because it prospered under some simple rules, none of which apply in Panama today: sadly they will not be allowed to apply tomorrow either..

    Hong Kong had about the same population in 1970 as Panama has now. But it had a low fixed tax rate, especially for personal tax, a small government which spent less than ten per cent of GDP, and most importantly a strong judiciary and rule of law with private property and open competition being well protected, all helped along by genuine free trade. The populations, e.g., of both Russia and India are well educated, but they do not increase productivity very much.

    The Panamanian govt. is way too large. It should copy the way HK did it. It will work. Panama shares with HK a role as an important shipping port, a strong financial and banking base, and a free trade zone: HK was totally free trade. HK was never a democracy, just as the US Founding Fathers never intended USA to be a democracy. The poor will always vote for the middle class and property owners to be taxed to pay benefits to the poor.

    Politically, Panama is incapable of changing to copy HK. Panama is destined to remain as just another middling country: a poor, corrupt, high tax, lawless, high tariff, big government latino country, but may be with a well educated population.

    Latest GDP for HK is near $35000 per person: Panama’s is near one quarter of this number for nominal GDP.

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