Fall in Coffee Prices Reaches 46%


News from Panama / Sunday, July 8th, 2012

This is not good news for major coffee exporters.  Fortunately for many growers here in Boquete they have risen to the top of the pyramid of growing quality coffee that far surpasses the price paid for regular quality coffee.  They have a buying crowd of roasters back in the US and around the world who pay extra for the quality grown here.

From May 2011 to May 2012 coffee prices fell by more than $100 on the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex).

A monthly report on the coffee market for May 2012 has been released by the International Coffee Organization. It states:

Arabica prices fell in May compared to April levels, whereas Robusta prices saw a significant increase, which resulted from a reduction in the difference between the two types of coffee. Consequently, the monthly average of the ICO composite indicator fell by 1.7%, from 160.46 U.S. cents per pound in April to 157.68 in May. This is the lowest level recorded since August 2010. The price volatility increased only for Robusta.

With regard to market fundamentals, it is estimated that total production of all exporting countries in crop year 2011/12 was around 131.9 million bags, compared to 134.2 million in 2010/11. The second estimate of Brazil’s production in crop year 2012/13 predicts a harvest of at least 50.4 million bags, representing an increase of 16% compared to the previous crop year. Production increases are also expected in other exporting countries, fueled by coffee prices in recent years. It will take much more accurate data in order to establish initial estimates of total production for the crop year 2012/13.
However, the ongoing dynamism of world consumption should make it possible to maintain the balance between supply and demand. Included in this report is a brief analysis of consumption over the past 22 years.

Source: International Coffee Organization