I used to tell my wife that I am going to miss three things when I die, her, the kids and global warming.  Well it is beginning to look like I might not miss the later these days as we continue with the driest rainy season that I have ever experienced here in Boquete.  Some try to brush it off as San Juan Summer but this is going to get serious come our summer months of January through March if we do not start to get some heavy rains soon.  It seems that we are not alone in this weather pattern.

Projections are that Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador and Nicaragua will register the largest deficit of rainfall in the region between August and October.  From a statement issued by the Regional Committee for Water Resources of the Central American Integration System:

XLII Central America Climate Forum

The rain deficit will continue to hit the Central American region in the next three months (August, September and October), concluded yesterday climatologists and meteorologists at the Climate Forum which took place in our country.

The trigger factor which indicates that in the coming months the influence of El Niño could be made official is the ocean temperature, which continues to be warm, reinforcing the scientific prognosis and meaning that there will be a shortage of rainfall.

After analyzing a number of patterns, historical records of rainfall, surface temperatures in the oceans, likely rainfall scenarios among other things, experts estimated on a map using the color brown to indicate where the range will be below normal (BN) The yellow color for a normal range (N) and green for the range above normal (AN).