{"id":6070,"date":"2012-10-12T09:32:26","date_gmt":"2012-10-12T14:32:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/?p=6070"},"modified":"2012-10-12T09:32:26","modified_gmt":"2012-10-12T14:32:26","slug":"baby-boomers%e2%80%99-pending-retirement-likely-to-change-housing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/baby-boomers%e2%80%99-pending-retirement-likely-to-change-housing\/","title":{"rendered":"Baby Boomers\u2019 Pending Retirement Likely to Change Housing"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

While we all know that things have changed,\u00a0 housing in the US and other parts of the wprld will never return to pre-crisis levels with baby boomers aging and the next generation lacking the population numbers to support the credit and homeownership expansion that occurred in the decades leading up to the credit meltdown, Christopher Whalen of Tangent Capital Partners said Friday.\u00a0 He speaks of changing demographics and the impact on the housing market.\u00a0 The developers here in Panama need to understand this and address the new wave of home buyers.<\/p>\n

My friend\u00a0 Mike Vuytowecz at Inside Panama knows this well and he has adjusted his business plan.\u00a0 He recently completed 27 transactions in the last two months in the Coronado market.\u00a0 Not all of these were luxury condos and I would bet the average price point was under $300,000.<\/p>\n

While speaking to an audience at HousingWire\u2019s REperform Summit, a mortgage servicing conference held in Dallas, Whalen said the U.S. economy since the 1980s managed to substitute spending in other areas by leaning on housing.<\/p>\n

\n

\u201cThis is significant because if you look at the factors that drove housing, the biggest one was the baby boom,\u201d Whalen said. \u201cThe population growth after the boom basically drove consumption, and we had this remarkable increase in demand for housing.\u201d<\/p>\n

\n

But Whalen said the boomers heading into retirement are leaving smaller populations behind them, making it unlikely housing will ever get back to the peak levels experienced before the 2008 financial crisis.<\/p>\n

\n

\u201cWhen you are looking at things like employment and job growth, you have to reduce your expectations of what you see in the future because the demographics are just not there,\u201d Whalen said.<\/p>\n

\n

Still, Whalen sees homeownership still having a place in the market, but said regulations are blocking certain aspects of the rebuilding.<\/p>\n

\n

\u201cCredit availability is the second factor,\u201d Whalen said when discussing how the overall market will shift. \u201cWe have to tailor down our expectations. You are not going to have the degree of credit availability that you had back in 2005.\u201d<\/p>\n

\n

Despite housing still facing a great deal of uncertainty, Brian Montgomery, chairman of the Collingwood Group, told the same crowd that the nation can \u201cexpect mild to moderate improvement in the housing market.\u201d<\/p>\n

\n

Home prices are already ticking up, he noted. But Montgomery conceded that rules drafted to fix housing, including the CFPB\u2019s qualified mortgage rule, are still going to have a dramatic impact on the market.<\/p>\n

\n

While presidential candidate Mitt Romney wants to repeal Dodd-Frank, Montgomery is not counting on it.<\/p>\n

\n

\u201cUnwinding legislation is extremely difficult,\u201d he said. \u201cIt\u2019s almost impossible to unwind the CFPB (Consumer Financial Protection Bureau), but it doesn\u2019t mean you can\u2019t try to soften what they are trying to do.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

While we all know that things have changed,\u00a0 housing in the US and other parts of the wprld<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[8,40,38,10,12,39,46,34,33,82,62,21,42,16,29,27,18,22,19,47,26,49,14,219,11,6,105,20,51,25,50,31,7,32,15,44,17,37,35,43],"class_list":["post-6070","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news-articles-panama-perpsective","tag-azuero-penninsula","tag-beach","tag-boca-chica","tag-bocas-del-toro","tag-boquete","tag-buenaventura","tag-caribbean","tag-casco-antiguo","tag-casco-viejo","tag-coffee","tag-coffee-in-panama","tag-energy","tag-estate-homes-in-panama","tag-estate-planning","tag-exchange-property-in-panama","tag-fantasy-island","tag-foundations","tag-hydro-electric","tag-investments-in-panama","tag-island-property","tag-islands","tag-labor-in-panama","tag-legal-issues","tag-move-to-panama","tag-offshore-real-estate","tag-panama","tag-panama-canal","tag-panama-economics","tag-panama-hotels","tag-panama-jazz-fest","tag-panama-metro-system","tag-panama-property-exchange","tag-panama-real-estate","tag-pedasi","tag-tax-issues","tag-travel-to-panama","tag-trusts","tag-venado","tag-venao","tag-whale-watching"],"yoast_head":"\nBaby 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