{"id":6024,"date":"2012-10-03T14:20:03","date_gmt":"2012-10-03T19:20:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/?p=6024"},"modified":"2012-10-03T14:20:03","modified_gmt":"2012-10-03T19:20:03","slug":"balboa-avenue-real-estate-prices-won%c2%b4t-fall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/balboa-avenue-real-estate-prices-won%c2%b4t-fall\/","title":{"rendered":"Balboa Avenue Real Estate Prices Won\u00b4t Fall"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/balboa-ave.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-6025\" title=\"balboa ave\" src=\"http:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/balboa-ave.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"470\" height=\"312\" srcset=\"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/balboa-ave.jpg 650w, https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/balboa-ave-300x199.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 470px) 100vw, 470px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>My friend Kent Davis at Panama Equity wrote a great piece on real estate in Panama City and he has the best researched data on current market pricing.<\/p>\n<p>Prices at Panama City&#8217;s Balboa Avenue have remained stable during 2012, and there are no signs of a real estate bubble.\u00a0 A further drop in Panama real estate prices along Balboa Avenue has not  materialized in 2012 and there are strong indications that a major  correction in residential real estate prices in Panama will not arrive  anytime soon.  Over 90% of the new residential towers along Balboa  Avenue are now complete, with almost 30% of that new inventory coming on  line in the last 12 months, yet prices have come down by less than 2%.<\/p>\n<p>The Panama real estate market has dodged another bullet, with any  perceived excess supply having very little impact on pricing.  Demand is  being supported by a strong local economy, banks flush with cash,  government sponsored infrastructure improvements, and foreigners and  multinational corporations continuing to relocate and invest.<\/p>\n<p>Prices are at their lowest levels in over four years and now may be the time to get back into the market.<\/p>\n<p>In January 2012, there were a total of 3,522 completed condo units along  Balboa Avenue. As of September 15th, there are 4,534 condo units that  are either occupied or ready to be occupied\/habitable, representing an  increase of 1,012 units, or roughly 30%.<\/p>\n<p>Panama Equity\u2019s semi-annual Balboa Avenue real estate pricing benchmark  survey found that as of September 15th, 2012 the average price point for  Balboa Avenue\u2019s twenty two completed residential condominiums and two  towers in construction has decreased by less than 2% from prices  recorded six and nine months prior.  In some buildings, prices may have  actually started trending upwards.<\/p>\n<p>From August \u2013 October 2012, Panama Equity commissioned a study of the  transaction history of 500 public deeds and compiled the data points  from these publicly registered sales, in-house closed deals, published  developer pricing, and seller surveys.  The study concluded that the  average price per square meter on a 140 meter (1,506sqf)  two bedroom  condo that is less than five years old located on Balboa Avenue is  listing for $2,271\/meter or $317,940 and selling for $2,049\/meter or  $286,860. That same property was listing for $324,800 and selling for  right around $293,580 this time last year.<\/p>\n<p>According to one developer, sales in the first half of the year were  much stronger than the second half of the year, but that\u2019s to be  expected.  Over the last four months, this particular developer reported  sales of 1-2 units per month during this period which is typically the  \u201cslow season\u201d in Panama, with the stated goal of closing out the entire  project\u2019s remaining inventory before year\u2019s end.<\/p>\n<p>Why have prices not come down?<\/p>\n<p>Our experience in brokering deals along Balboa Avenue has indicated an  optimistic seller sentiment and a general unwillingness to come down  more than 10% off of the published asking price on both pre-existing  condo resales and developer inventory.<\/p>\n<p>Banks are aggressively injecting liquidity into the residential real  estate sector, helping buyers close and keeping defaulted inventory off  of the market.  Buyers who have accepted financing instead of losing  their deposits have now become de facto owners and have chosen to rent  their new condos along Balboa Avenue. This has caused some softening on  the rental market.<\/p>\n<p>New residential construction on Balboa Avenue is also coming to an end.  Arts and Yoo Towers are the only two remaining condo buildings slated  for delivery over the next 24-36 months, accounting for a combined total  of 630 new units, of which more than 70% are already presold. The  available space to build new towers along this waterfront district is  also in short supply, meaning the development pipeline will eventually  come to an end as there will be nowhere else to build.<\/p>\n<p>Inflation in Panama has been at a steady 6% in Panama for the last three  years.  Construction costs have also increased more than 200% over that  same period, meaning promoters are now offering new projects at higher  prices.<\/p>\n<p>According to one seller in Bayfront Tower, \u201cI priced the unit at market  and was fine waiting for a buyer to come in and give me what I wanted.  I  had no problem waiting for three months to get it sold and in the end, I  sold for less than $5,000 off of my asking price.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Most of the sellers with \u201cfire sale\u201d units along Balboa Avenue have already found willing buyers or bank financing.<\/p>\n<p>Large, value adding projects that will be completed in the next 12-24  months also have sellers on Balboa Avenue confident of a rebound in  pricing. The Panama Bay cleanup initiative is over 70% complete and the  Panama Metro mass transit project will be completed around the same time  as the Cinta Costera extension, both at the end of 2014.  That,  combined with an economy that\u2019s continually beating forecasts and  improving on past year\u2019s benchmarks including job creation, tourism  figures, and overall gross domestic product are giving buyers reasons to  purchase and sellers reasons to keep deep discounts out of the  transaction.<\/p>\n<p>Conclusions<\/p>\n<p>Panama Equity\u2019s agents have brought cash buyers to the negotiating table  with developers who are absolutely unwilling to come down by more than  10% off of their list prices and many private sellers are holding very  close to their asking price, knowing full well that their neighbor may  have recently sold at or close to market.  The amount of buyers coming  in from North and South America as well as Europe and the subsequent  volume of inquiries and showings is giving property owners the  confidence that offers will follow.<\/p>\n<p>Banks have also had a major impact on pricing corrections, having kept many desperate sellers from fire-selling their condos.<\/p>\n<p>Millions of dollars of infrastructure investment and localized  neighborhood improvements along Balboa Avenue have convinced both buyers  and sellers that the potential for appreciation in the near future is  real.  This confidence has translated into enough transaction volume to  keep prices stable and bring new buyers into the market.<\/p>\n<p>Long term appreciation on real estate prices is something that almost  no-one in Panama will disagree on, and now may very well be the time to  get back in the market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>My friend Kent Davis at Panama Equity wrote a great piece on real estate in Panama City 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