{"id":5118,"date":"2012-06-12T14:23:16","date_gmt":"2012-06-12T19:23:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/?p=5118"},"modified":"2012-06-12T14:23:16","modified_gmt":"2012-06-12T19:23:16","slug":"is-latin-america%e2%80%99s-middle-class-on-safe-ground","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/is-latin-america%e2%80%99s-middle-class-on-safe-ground\/","title":{"rendered":"Is Latin America\u2019s middle class on safe ground?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/multiplaza.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-5119\" title=\"multiplaza\" src=\"http:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/multiplaza.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"550\" height=\"327\" srcset=\"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/multiplaza.jpg 550w, https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/multiplaza-300x178.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Panama&#8217;s middle class has grown maybe 50% in size over the last several years thanks to a robust economy and with it government investment in infrastructure improvements.\u00a0 Everyone wants to know if it will last.\u00a0 Well, for the next five years it should and hopefully many years after that.\u00a0 In other areas of Latin America that are expanding but in a commodity driven environment, the situation may be different with the slowing economies in China and abroad.\u00a0 This in from Market Watch a Wall Street Journal magazine.<\/p>\n<p>BOGOTA, Colombia (MarketWatch) \u2014 Andrea Enciso Garcia has found a niche \u2014  buying certified organic vegetables and herbs from farms outside Bogota  and selling them to the newly created middle class of Colombia.<\/p>\n<p>Andrea, like her clients, is also new to the middle class. She lives in a  comfortable two-bedroom home with an expansive view of the Cordillera  Oriental, the mountains that surround the capital city.<\/p>\n<p>And her business relies on the stability of the middle class to maintain itself, and its spending habits.<\/p>\n<p>But with China slowing its pace of growth, and Europe in a deepening  debt crisis, the stability of the middle class is coming into question  in Colombia, and indeed most of the region.<\/p>\n<p>Latin America\u2019s middle class owes part of its emergence to the  decadelong surge in commodities. But lately those international markets  have begun to cool off. In their place, the domestic economy has begun  to shoulder part of the burden of sustaining the middle class. By  investing in itself, the middle class has developed a strong retail  sector, manufacturing, real estate, telecommunications, health care and  more.<\/p>\n<p>The middle class will also need help from government spending. Colombia   \u2014 along with Peru, Chile and Brazil \u2014 have built up coffers from the  commodities boom. Colombia\u2019s economy grew at a pace of 5.9% in 2011.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe North (countries in the northern hemisphere) will not perform well  over the next 10 years,\u201d Colombian Finance Minister Juan Carlos  Echeverry told me in an interview. Flexibility, he said, will be  essential to economic and trade policies. \u201cThe countries that save and  invest in long-term growth are countries like China, Singapore, Norway,  Chile, Peru and Colombia.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Although the middle class in Latin America has invested in itself, it  has been less ambitious about saving. Historically, the household  savings rate across the region has been low, relative to other regions  like Asia. That is why the government will need to step in to boost  savings.<\/p>\n<p>Colombia is already planning on using the tax revenues and royalties it  earned on oil exports to expand housing and build infrastructure. The  Colombian government intends to spend $100 billion over the next 10  years on infrastructure and logistics, Echeverry says.<\/p>\n<p>It also wants to build 100,000 houses and give them free to the poor \u2013 a  bill to do so is awaiting passage in the legislature. Also, the  government last week gave approval for 140,000 low-interest mortgage  loans to finance housing for the lower-middle class.<\/p>\n<p>The government has been less than successful at rebuilding  infrastructure. The few contracts it has approved so far have been mired  in controversy. Highways and railroads are still needed to bring goods  to and from seaports and airports.<\/p>\n<p>If those contracts are granted, and if the work can be carried out, then  the jobs and revenue the middle class needs could follow. Consequently,  it could also mean investing opportunities for investors in  construction, infrastructure, and housing.<\/p>\n<p>Companies like Cementos Argos \t\t\t\t                                   CO:CEMARGOS                         +4.46%  , which spun off its investment arm as Inversiones Argos last week, and InterconexionEletrica \t\t\t\t                                   CO:ISA                         -0.73%  could do well if the government\u2019s plan is carried out.<\/p>\n<p>Similarly, it could benefit the agriculture industry so that its goods  reach the growing middle class. And it could also mean help for Andrea  Enciso Garcia\u2019s organic vegetable business, which depends on the growth  and stability of the middle class.<\/p>\n<p>Michael Molinski is the author of \u201cInvesting in Latin America: Best  Stocks, Best Funds\u201d and is a founding partner of Investing Across  Borders, a San Francisco-based research firm  (www.investingacrossborders.com)<\/p>\n<p>Michael Molinski is the author of &#8220;Investing in  Latin America: Best Stocks, Best Funds&#8221; and is a founding partner of  Investing Across Borders, a San Francisco-based research firm  (www.investingacrossborders.com)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Panama&#8217;s middle class has grown maybe 50% in size over the last several years thanks to a robust<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5118","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news-articles-panama-perpsective"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.7 (Yoast SEO v27.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Is Latin America\u2019s middle class on safe ground? - Blog and Newsletter<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/is-latin-america\u2019s-middle-class-on-safe-ground\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" 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