{"id":4481,"date":"2012-03-08T13:24:22","date_gmt":"2012-03-08T18:24:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/?p=4481"},"modified":"2012-03-08T13:24:22","modified_gmt":"2012-03-08T18:24:22","slug":"will-panama-go-the-way-of-mexico","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/will-panama-go-the-way-of-mexico\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;Will Panama Go The Way Of Mexico?&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/girl-on-beach.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-4482\" title=\"girl on beach\" src=\"http:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/girl-on-beach.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"335\" srcset=\"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/girl-on-beach.jpg 500w, https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/girl-on-beach-300x201.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>(Photo Credit: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.joelcarillet.com\/there_is_only_one_sin\" target=\"_blank\">Joel Carillet<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p>This is a reprint of a great article written by Don Winner at the Panama Guide who has &#8220;25 year lenses&#8221; here in Panama having arrived when Noriega was in power in 1987.\u00a0 He gives an excellent perspective on the situation yesterday, today and where we are heading.<\/p>\n<p>By DON WINNER for &#8211; Received this afternoon via email: <em>&#8220;Hello,  As many people have probably inquired, I too have been thinking of  moving\/renting\/buying property on panama, specifically, the  Boquete\/Dolego\/ Boca Chica area. I have been to Boca Chica area by boat  from Costa Rica to the canal. Like all latin countries, safety is my  primary concern. Of course, Panama is the main route for drug and  weapons traffic. and the many articles I\u2019ve read on the subject have  said how much the traffic and violence has increased. I for one say  there is no stopping it. The main reason I don\u2019t go to Mexico anymore. I  recently got back from San Carlos Panama and it was just ok. I think  David is a small Panama City, where you can still get goods and  services. I speak very little Spanish, although I continue to take  lessons, but difficult for me. They say it\u2019s the one of the safest Latin  American countries, but will that continue? I found the Panamanians  good decent people, hardworking, and pretty helpful, just like the  Mexicans, but Mexico is being overrun by the cartels and the government,  although trying, is outmanned, outgunned, and out financed, thereby  contributing to the eventual downfall of the country. I guess my  question is: will Panama be another Mexico in the near future and would  it be wise to make any kind of investment\/move there? My thought is to  move to Florida {I\u2019m from NH}, and perhaps just do 6 mos. there and 6  mos. in David area. any info or your own thoughts would be helpful.  Thank You. MC.&#8221;<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Editor&#8217;s Comment:<\/strong> Excellent question. The short answer is &#8211; no  &#8211; Panama will probably not go the way of Mexico, with regards to  internal security. Panama has always been a transit country for drug  traffickers. The cocaine is grown and processed in South America then  moved past, through, or around Panama on the way to markets in the  United States and Canada. Here in Panama the drugs go North and the  money comes South. So, there are problems associated with the drug  traffickers and money launderers, as well as all of the associated  peripheral activities such as trafficking in weapons and human beings.  Back in the 1980&#8217;s when cocaine first became big the drug cartels were  all Colombian &#8211; guys like Pablo Escobar. Once they were taken down and  broken up, the Colombian guerrillas (FARC) woke up one day and realized  they were in charge of the whole thing. Their power peaked in the mid  90&#8217;s when they were receiving more than $2 billion dollars per year from  the drug trade. In response the United States started to spend some  real serious money to help the Colombian government defeat the  narco-guerrillas. That was so successful that today the FARC is talking  about disarming and disbanding. Once the FARC started to get their butts  kicked, the ball was passed to the Mexican drug cartels. They turned  out to be much more blood thirsty and violent than the Colombians every  were. And that&#8217;s pretty much where we are today &#8211; with the Mexicans  being responsible for most of the trafficking of cocaine. So, what does  all of this mean for Panama?<\/p>\n<p><strong>A Safe Haven:<\/strong> Just two days ago I published this article &#8211; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.panama-guide.com\/article.php\/20120301185949804\" target=\"_blank\">Mexican and Colombian Drug Cartel Capos &#8211; Hiding in Panama<\/a>.  It seems that Panama is a relatively nice place to use as a base of  operations if you&#8217;re a drug trafficking kingpin, and the last thing you  want to do when you&#8217;re hiding is make a lot of noise. In the last three  years the Panamanian authorities have busted about 130 tons of cocaine &#8211;  which the drug traffickers just see as the cost of doing business. The  lower level guys will very often get into violent clashes among  themselves. Sometimes one group of bad guys will learn that another  group of bad guys is moving a load of cocaine so they will try to steal  it from them, and there&#8217;s a gunfight, and then the authorities find the  bodies a few days later. Or, if there&#8217;s a drug bust, then a few days  later the bodies start turning up as the bosses punish those who screwed  up. Or, low level local youth gangs will kill one another in turf  battles for rights to control the drug trafficking in the different  parts of the neighborhood. None of this violent activity ever splashes  on to the community of English speaking expatriates in the Republic of  Panama. The greatest danger to expats? The possibility of getting mugged on the street by some crack head who is desperate for a few dollars to score his next fix. And even that is extremely, exceptionally rare.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Panama Is Like A Straw:<\/strong> Panama is very narrow, and it&#8217;s  relatively easy for the authorities to shut down any one part of the  country if necessary for security reasons. Like, let&#8217;s say the Darien  region, for example. If all of a sudden a large number of heavily armed  narco-traffickers started raising hell in the Darien, the authorities  could control all access into and out of that entire province by putting  checkpoints on one road. They are already patrolling both the Pacific  and Atlantic oceans, looking for drug traffickers. There are only two  bridges that connect Panama City to the interior of the country. Panama  is investing heavily to buy arms and equipment to be in a better  position to enforce the law and interdict drug traffickers, so their  capabilities are improving. The National Police, the SENAFRONT, and the  SENAN are all training more people and improving their overall  capabilities. So if anything the security situation in Panama for the  members of the expatriate community is improving, from a strategic point  of view. All of these factors combine to make Panama a much, much safer  place than Mexico. And, I don&#8217;t see anything on the horizon in either  the near or long term that might change the fundamental security  situation to the negative. On the contrary, in the long term the trend  is for Panama to become even more safe and secure than it is today.<\/p>\n<p><strong>My Point Of View:<\/strong> When I first arrived in Panama back in  1987 Manuel Noriega was in charge of the country as a military dictator.  He was trafficking cocaine through Cuba, and the security situation go  so bad that the United States was forced to invade (Just Cause) in order  to secure the Panama Canal and the US citizens living here. Since  Noriega was taken down and democracy restored, there have been five  democratically elected presidents. During that entire time the security  situation has improved substantially. There was a sharp increase in  murders related to drug trafficking during the Martin Torrijos  administration, precisely because the Colombians passed the ball to the  Mexicans back in about 2006 or 2007. So now five years later, the  government has spent the money necessary to combat the threat. They have  not won the war, but they are heartily engaged. So, through my 25 year  lenses, the situation has gone from really bad to a whole lot better,  and chances are that trend will continue.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Photo Credit: Joel Carillet) This is a reprint of a great article written by Don Winner at the<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4481","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news-articles-panama-perpsective"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.7 (Yoast SEO v27.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>&quot;Will Panama Go The Way Of Mexico?&quot; - Blog and Newsletter<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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