{"id":29293,"date":"2020-07-06T08:38:00","date_gmt":"2020-07-06T13:38:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/?p=29293"},"modified":"2020-07-06T08:39:35","modified_gmt":"2020-07-06T13:39:35","slug":"239-experts-1-big-claim-coronavirus-airborne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/239-experts-1-big-claim-coronavirus-airborne\/","title":{"rendered":"239 Experts With 1 Big Claim: The Coronavirus Is Airborne"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/airborne.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-29294\" src=\"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/airborne.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"275\" srcset=\"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/airborne.jpg 700w, https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/airborne-300x118.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The coronavirus is finding new victims worldwide, in bars and restaurants, offices, markets and casinos, giving rise to frightening clusters of infection that increasingly confirm what many scientists have been saying for months: The virus lingers in the air indoors, infecting those nearby.<\/p>\n<p>If airborne transmission is a significant factor in the pandemic, especially in crowded spaces with poor ventilation, the consequences for containment will be significant. Masks may be needed indoors, even in socially distant settings. Health care workers may need N95 masks that filter out even the smallest respiratory droplets as they care for coronavirus patients.<\/p>\n<p>Ventilation systems in schools, nursing homes, residences and businesses may need to minimize recirculating air and add powerful new filters. Ultraviolet lights may be needed to kill viral particles floating in tiny droplets indoors.<\/p>\n<p>The World Health Organization has long held that the coronavirus is spread primarily by large respiratory droplets that, once expelled by infected people in coughs and sneezes, fall quickly to the floor.<\/p>\n<p>But in an open letter to the W.H.O., 239 scientists in 32 countries have outlined the evidence showing that smaller particles can infect people, and are calling for the agency to revise its recommendations. The researchers plan to publish their letter in a scientific journal next week.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"storyimage fullwidth inlineimage\" data-aop=\"image\"><span class=\"image\" data-attrib=\"Pool photo by Fabrice Coffrini\" data-caption=\"Dr. Soumya Swaminathan, chief scientist of the World Health Organization, at a recent news conference. \u201cWe don\u2019t shy away from being challenged \u2014 it\u2019s good for us to be challenged,\u201d she said in an interview.\" data-id=\"67\" data-m=\"{&quot;i&quot;:67,&quot;p&quot;:65,&quot;n&quot;:&quot;openModal&quot;,&quot;t&quot;:&quot;articleImages&quot;,&quot;o&quot;:2}\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"loaded\" src=\"https:\/\/img-s-msn-com.akamaized.net\/tenant\/amp\/entityid\/BB16ldm4.img?h=351&amp;w=624&amp;m=6&amp;q=60&amp;o=f&amp;l=f&amp;x=872&amp;y=312\" alt=\"a person wearing a blue shirt: Dr. Soumya Swaminathan, chief scientist of the World Health Organization, at a recent news conference. \u201cWe don\u2019t shy away from being challenged \u2014 it\u2019s good for us to be challenged,\u201d she said in an interview.\" data-src=\"{&quot;default&quot;:{&quot;load&quot;:&quot;default&quot;,&quot;w&quot;:&quot;80&quot;,&quot;h&quot;:&quot;45&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;\/\/img-s-msn-com.akamaized.net\/tenant\/amp\/entityid\/BB16ldm4.img?h=450&amp;w=799&amp;m=6&amp;q=60&amp;o=f&amp;l=f&amp;x=872&amp;y=312&quot;},&quot;size3column&quot;:{&quot;load&quot;:&quot;default&quot;,&quot;w&quot;:&quot;62&quot;,&quot;h&quot;:&quot;35&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;\/\/img-s-msn-com.akamaized.net\/tenant\/amp\/entityid\/BB16ldm4.img?h=351&amp;w=624&amp;m=6&amp;q=60&amp;o=f&amp;l=f&amp;x=872&amp;y=312&quot;},&quot;size2column&quot;:{&quot;load&quot;:&quot;default&quot;,&quot;w&quot;:&quot;62&quot;,&quot;h&quot;:&quot;35&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;\/\/img-s-msn-com.akamaized.net\/tenant\/amp\/entityid\/BB16ldm4.img?h=351&amp;w=624&amp;m=6&amp;q=60&amp;o=f&amp;l=f&amp;x=872&amp;y=312&quot;}}\" \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Even in its latest update on the coronavirus, released June 29, the W.H.O. said airborne transmission of the virus is possible only\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.who.int\/publications\/i\/item\/WHO-2019-nCoV-IPC-2020.4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-id=\"70\" data-m=\"{&quot;i&quot;:70,&quot;p&quot;:65,&quot;n&quot;:&quot;partnerLink&quot;,&quot;y&quot;:24,&quot;o&quot;:5}\">after medical procedures<\/a>\u00a0that produce aerosols, or droplets smaller than 5 microns. (A micron is equal to one millionth of a meter.)<\/p>\n<p>Proper ventilation and N95 masks are of concern only in those circumstances, according to the W.H.O. Instead, its infection control guidance, before and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.who.int\/infection-prevention\/en\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-id=\"71\" data-m=\"{&quot;i&quot;:71,&quot;p&quot;:65,&quot;n&quot;:&quot;partnerLink&quot;,&quot;y&quot;:24,&quot;o&quot;:6}\">during<\/a>\u00a0this pandemic, has\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.who.int\/infection-prevention\/campaigns\/ipc-global-survey-2019\/en\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-id=\"72\" data-m=\"{&quot;i&quot;:72,&quot;p&quot;:65,&quot;n&quot;:&quot;partnerLink&quot;,&quot;y&quot;:24,&quot;o&quot;:7}\">heavily<\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.who.int\/infection-prevention\/campaigns\/clean-hands\/5may2019\/en\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-id=\"73\" data-m=\"{&quot;i&quot;:73,&quot;p&quot;:65,&quot;n&quot;:&quot;partnerLink&quot;,&quot;y&quot;:24,&quot;o&quot;:8}\">promoted<\/a>\u00a0the importance of\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.who.int\/gpsc\/ipc\/en\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-id=\"74\" data-m=\"{&quot;i&quot;:74,&quot;p&quot;:65,&quot;n&quot;:&quot;partnerLink&quot;,&quot;y&quot;:24,&quot;o&quot;:9}\">handwashing<\/a>\u00a0as a primary prevention strategy, even though there is limited evidence for transmission of the virus from surfaces. (The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention now says surfaces are likely to play only a minor role.)<\/p>\n<p>Dr. Benedetta Allegranzi, the W.H.O.\u2019s technical lead on infection control, said the evidence for the virus spreading by air was unconvincing.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEspecially in the last couple of months, we have been stating several times that we consider airborne transmission as possible but certainly not supported by solid or even clear evidence,\u201d she said. \u201cThere is a strong debate on this.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>But interviews with nearly 20 scientists \u2014 including a dozen W.H.O. consultants and several members of the committee that crafted the guidance \u2014 and internal emails paint a picture of an organization that, despite good intentions, is out of step with science.<\/p>\n<p>Whether carried aloft by large droplets that zoom through the air after a sneeze, or by much smaller exhaled droplets that may glide the length of a room, these experts said, the coronavirus is borne through air and can infect people when inhaled.<\/p>\n<p>Most of these experts sympathized with the W.H.O.\u2019s growing portfolio and shrinking budget, and noted the tricky political relationships it has to manage, especially with the United States and China. They praised W.H.O. staff for holding daily briefings and tirelessly answering questions about the pandemic.<\/p>\n<p>But the infection prevention and control committee in particular, experts said, is bound by a rigid and overly medicalized view of scientific evidence, is slow and risk-averse in updating its guidance and allows a few conservative voices to shout down dissent.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey\u2019ll die defending their view,\u201d said one longstanding W.H.O. consultant, who did not wish to be identified because of her continuing work for the organization. Even its staunchest supporters said the committee should\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JoyAgnost\/status\/1263802269658644480\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-id=\"75\" data-m=\"{&quot;i&quot;:75,&quot;p&quot;:65,&quot;n&quot;:&quot;partnerLink&quot;,&quot;y&quot;:24,&quot;o&quot;:10}\">diversify its expertise<\/a>\u00a0and relax its criteria for proof, especially in a fast-moving outbreak.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI do get frustrated about the issues of airflow and sizing of particles, absolutely,\u201d said Mary-Louise McLaws, a committee member and epidemiologist at the University of New South Wales in Sydney.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf we started revisiting airflow, we would have to be prepared to change a lot of what we do,\u201d she said. \u201cI think it\u2019s a good idea, a very good idea, but it will cause an enormous shudder through the infection control society.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In early April, a group of 36 experts on air quality and aerosols urged the W.H.O. to consider the growing evidence on airborne transmission of the coronavirus. The agency responded promptly, calling Lidia Morawska, the group\u2019s leader and a longtime W.H.O. consultant, to arrange a meeting.<\/p>\n<p>But the discussion was dominated by a few experts who are staunch supporters of handwashing and felt it must be emphasized over aerosols, according to some participants, and the committee\u2019s advice remained unchanged.<\/p>\n<p>Dr. Morawska and others pointed to\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/05\/12\/health\/coronavirus-choir.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-id=\"76\" data-m=\"{&quot;i&quot;:76,&quot;p&quot;:65,&quot;n&quot;:&quot;partnerLink&quot;,&quot;y&quot;:24,&quot;o&quot;:11}\" data-hl=\"viglink\">several<\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/04\/20\/health\/airflow-coronavirus-restaurants.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-id=\"77\" data-m=\"{&quot;i&quot;:77,&quot;p&quot;:65,&quot;n&quot;:&quot;partnerLink&quot;,&quot;y&quot;:24,&quot;o&quot;:12}\" data-hl=\"viglink\">incidents<\/a>\u00a0that indicate\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/news.sky.com\/story\/coronavirus-circulating-air-may-have-spread-covid-19-to-1-500-german-meat-plant-staff-12014156\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-id=\"78\" data-m=\"{&quot;i&quot;:78,&quot;p&quot;:65,&quot;n&quot;:&quot;partnerLink&quot;,&quot;y&quot;:24,&quot;o&quot;:13}\" data-hl=\"viglink\">airborne transmission<\/a>\u00a0of the virus, particularly in poorly ventilated and crowded indoor spaces. They said the W.H.O. was making an artificial distinction between tiny aerosols and larger droplets, even though infected people produce both.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019ve known since 1946 that coughing and talking generate aerosols,\u201d said Linsey Marr, an expert in airborne transmission of viruses at Virginia Tech.<\/p>\n<p>Scientists have not been able to grow the coronavirus from aerosols in the lab. But that doesn\u2019t mean aerosols are not infective, Dr. Marr said: Most of the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S0013935120307143?via%3Dihub\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-id=\"79\" data-m=\"{&quot;i&quot;:79,&quot;p&quot;:65,&quot;n&quot;:&quot;partnerLink&quot;,&quot;y&quot;:24,&quot;o&quot;:14}\">samples in those experiments have come from hospital rooms<\/a>\u00a0with good air flow that would dilute viral levels.<\/p>\n<p>In most buildings, she said, \u201cthe air-exchange rate is usually much lower, allowing virus to accumulate in the air and pose a greater risk.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The W.H.O. also is relying on a dated definition of airborne transmission, Dr. Marr said. The agency believes an airborne pathogen, like the measles virus, has to be highly infectious and to travel long distances.<\/p>\n<p>People generally \u201cthink and talk about airborne transmission profoundly stupidly,\u201d said Bill Hanage, an epidemiologist at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe have this notion that airborne transmission means droplets hanging in the air capable of infecting you many hours later, drifting down streets, through letter boxes and finding their way into homes everywhere,\u201d Dr. Hanage said.<\/p>\n<p>Experts all agree that the coronavirus does not behave that way. Dr. Marr and others said the coronavirus seemed to be most infectious when people were in prolonged contact at close range, especially indoors, and even more so in\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/06\/30\/science\/how-coronavirus-spreads.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-id=\"80\" data-m=\"{&quot;i&quot;:80,&quot;p&quot;:65,&quot;n&quot;:&quot;partnerLink&quot;,&quot;y&quot;:24,&quot;o&quot;:15}\" data-hl=\"viglink\">superspreader events<\/a>\u00a0\u2014 exactly what scientists would expect from aerosol transmission.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Precautionary principle<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The W.H.O. has found itself at odds with groups of scientists more than once during this pandemic.<\/p>\n<p>The agency lagged behind most of its member nations in\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/06\/05\/health\/coronavirus-masks-who.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-id=\"81\" data-m=\"{&quot;i&quot;:81,&quot;p&quot;:65,&quot;n&quot;:&quot;partnerLink&quot;,&quot;y&quot;:24,&quot;o&quot;:16}\" data-hl=\"viglink\">endorsing face coverings<\/a>\u00a0for the public. While other organizations, including the C.D.C., have long since acknowledged the importance of transmission\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/06\/27\/world\/europe\/coronavirus-spread-asymptomatic.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-id=\"82\" data-m=\"{&quot;i&quot;:82,&quot;p&quot;:65,&quot;n&quot;:&quot;partnerLink&quot;,&quot;y&quot;:24,&quot;o&quot;:17}\" data-hl=\"viglink\">by people without symptoms<\/a>, the W.H.O. still\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/06\/09\/health\/coronavirus-asymptomatic-world-health-organization.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-id=\"83\" data-m=\"{&quot;i&quot;:83,&quot;p&quot;:65,&quot;n&quot;:&quot;partnerLink&quot;,&quot;y&quot;:24,&quot;o&quot;:18}\" data-hl=\"viglink\">maintains that asymptomatic transmission is rare<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAt the country level, a lot of W.H.O. technical staff are scratching their heads,\u201d said a consultant at a regional office in Southeast Asia, who did not wish to be identified because he was worried about losing his contract. \u201cThis is not giving us credibility.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The consultant recalled that the W.H.O. staff members in his country were the only ones to go without masks after the government there endorsed them.<\/p>\n<p>Many experts said the W.H.O. should embrace what some called a \u201cprecautionary principle\u201d and others called \u201cneeds and values\u201d \u2014 the idea that even without definitive evidence, the agency should assume the worst of the virus, apply common sense and recommend the best protection possible.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere is no incontrovertible proof that SARS-CoV-2 travels or is transmitted significantly by aerosols, but there is absolutely no evidence that it\u2019s not,\u201d said Dr. Trish Greenhalgh, a primary care doctor at the University of Oxford in Britain.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSo at the moment we have to make a decision in the face of uncertainty, and my goodness, it\u2019s going to be a disastrous decision if we get it wrong,\u201d she said. \u201cSo why not just mask up for a few weeks, just in case?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>After all, the W.H.O. seems willing to accept without much evidence the idea that the virus may be transmitted from surfaces, she and other researchers noted, even as other health agencies have stepped back emphasizing this route.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI agree that fomite transmission is not directly demonstrated for this virus,\u201d Dr. Allegranzi, the W.H.O.\u2019s technical lead on infection control, said, referring to objects that may be infectious. \u201cBut it is well known that other coronaviruses and respiratory viruses are transmitted, and demonstrated to be transmitted, by contact with fomite.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The agency also must consider the needs of all its member nations, including those with limited resources, and make sure its recommendations are tempered by \u201cavailability, feasibility, compliance, resource implications,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Aerosols may play some limited role in spreading the virus, said Dr. Paul Hunter, a member of the infection prevention committee and professor of medicine at the University of East Anglia in Britain.<\/p>\n<p>But if the W.H.O. were to push for rigorous control measures in the absence of proof, hospitals in low- and middle-income countries may be forced to divert scarce resources from other crucial programs.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat\u2019s the balance that an organization like the W.H.O. has to achieve,\u201d he said. \u201cIt\u2019s the easiest thing in the world to say, \u2018We\u2019ve got to follow the precautionary principle,\u2019 and ignore the opportunity costs of that.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In interviews, other scientists criticized this view as paternalistic. \u201c\u2018We\u2019re not going to say what we really think, because we think you can\u2019t deal with it?\u2019 I don\u2019t think that\u2019s right,\u201d said Don Milton, an aerosol expert at the University of Maryland.<\/p>\n<p>Even cloth masks, if worn by everyone, can significantly reduce transmission, and the W.H.O. should say so clearly, he added.<\/p>\n<p>Several experts criticized the W.H.O.\u2019s messaging throughout the pandemic, saying the staff seems to prize scientific perspective over clarity.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhat you say is designed to help people understand the nature of a public health problem,\u201d said Dr. William Aldis, a longtime W.H.O. collaborator based in Thailand. \u201cThat\u2019s different than just scientifically describing a disease or a virus.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The W.H.O. tends to describe \u201can absence of evidence as evidence of absence,\u201d Dr. Aldis added. In April, for example,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-health-coronavirus-who-idUSKCN2270FB\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-id=\"87\" data-m=\"{&quot;i&quot;:87,&quot;p&quot;:65,&quot;n&quot;:&quot;partnerLink&quot;,&quot;y&quot;:24,&quot;o&quot;:22}\">the W.H.O. said<\/a>, \u201cThere is currently no evidence that people who have recovered from Covid-19 and have antibodies are protected from a second infection.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The statement was intended to indicate uncertainty, but the phrasing stoked unease among the public and earned rebukes from several experts and journalists. The W.H.O. later walked back its comments.<\/p>\n<p>In a less public instance, the W.H.O. said there was \u201cno evidence to suggest\u201d that people with H.I.V. were at increased risk from the coronavirus. After Joseph Amon, the director of global health at Drexel University in Philadelphia who has sat on many agency committees, pointed out that the phrasing was misleading, the W.H.O. changed it to say the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.who.int\/emergencies\/diseases\/novel-coronavirus-2019\/question-and-answers-hub\/q-a-detail\/q-a-on-covid-19-hiv-and-antiretrovirals\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-id=\"88\" data-m=\"{&quot;i&quot;:88,&quot;p&quot;:65,&quot;n&quot;:&quot;partnerLink&quot;,&quot;y&quot;:24,&quot;o&quot;:23}\">level of risk was \u201cunknown.\u201d<\/a><\/p>\n<p>But W.H.O. staff and some members said the critics did not give its committees enough credit.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThose that may have been frustrated may not be cognizant of how W.H.O. expert committees work, and they work slowly and deliberately,\u201d Dr. McLaws said.<\/p>\n<p>Dr. Soumya Swaminathan, the W.H.O.\u2019s chief scientist, said agency staff members were trying to evaluate new scientific evidence as fast as possible, but without sacrificing the quality of their review. She added that the agency will try to broaden the committees\u2019 expertise and communications to make sure everyone is heard.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe take it seriously when journalists or scientists or anyone challenges us and say we can do better than this,\u201d she said. \u201cWe definitely want to do better.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Source: The New York Times<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-29216\" src=\"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/2-1024x354.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"671\" height=\"232\" srcset=\"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/2-1024x354.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/2-300x104.jpg 300w, https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/2-768x265.jpg 768w, https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/2.jpg 1422w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 671px) 100vw, 671px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><a href=\"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/news-from-panama\/new-services-offered\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">We are in the disinfecting business<\/a><\/h2>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Stay Safe!!<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"wpcf7 no-js\" id=\"wpcf7-f16536-o1\" lang=\"\" dir=\"ltr\" data-wpcf7-id=\"16536\">\n<div class=\"screen-reader-response\"><p role=\"status\" aria-live=\"polite\" aria-atomic=\"true\"><\/p> <ul><\/ul><\/div>\n<form action=\"\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29293#wpcf7-f16536-o1\" method=\"post\" class=\"wpcf7-form init\" aria-label=\"Contact form\" novalidate=\"novalidate\" data-status=\"init\">\n<fieldset class=\"hidden-fields-container\"><input type=\"hidden\" 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