{"id":27034,"date":"2019-09-16T14:50:28","date_gmt":"2019-09-16T19:50:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/?p=27034"},"modified":"2019-09-17T10:05:02","modified_gmt":"2019-09-17T15:05:02","slug":"can-panamas-new-president-country","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/can-panamas-new-president-country\/","title":{"rendered":"What Can Panama\u2019s New President Do for His Country?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/best-one.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-27035\" src=\"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/best-one.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"335\" srcset=\"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/best-one.jpg 700w, https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/best-one-300x144.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>After a decade led by two globalist and establishment presidents, Ricardo Martinelli and Juan Carlos Varela,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.seattletimes.com\/nation-world\/nation\/panama-swears-in-laurentino-cortizo-as-president\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Panama has a new leader<\/a>\u00a0who brings a nationalist flare to political discourse. Despite a career in business and politics, President Laurentino \u201cNito\u201d Cortizo has never seen eye to eye with Panama City elites.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier this year, Cortizo was propelled to the presidency despite, or because of, his status as a critic of previous governments. For instance, in 2006, Cortizo\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/news\/2019\/05\/panama-elections-centrist-laurentino-cortizo-declared-winner-190506053456564.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">resigned<\/a>\u00a0from his position as minister of agriculture to protest then-President Martin Torrijos\u2019 push for a free trade agreement with the United States. True to form, earlier this year, Cortizo decided to take on\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-panama-election-winner-newsmaker\/panamas-next-president-loves-texas-football-seeks-better-u-s-relations-idUSKCN1SC0AO\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Panama\u2019s two main parties<\/a>, the Paname\u00f1ista Party and Democratic Change (CD), campaigning with the Revolutionary Democratic Party (PRD) on restarting country\u2019s agricultural industry and regulating unchecked imports currently stifling local producers.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Turning Point<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>His election marks a turning point in Panama\u2019s democracy. During the presidential campaign, Cortizo received support from various political independents and social sectors that were eager to prevent the Paname\u00f1ista Party from taking over the executive branch. Additionally, Cortizo\u2019s campaign promised a fight against corruption and a revival of the national economy, giving priority to local projects and debt reduction.<\/p>\n<p>A decade after the end of the dictatorship of Manuel Antonio Noriega in 1998, Democratic Change was founded as a new center-right political alternative. Today, CD controls 18 out of 71 seats in the country\u2019s national assembly, making it the second-largest delegation in Panama\u2019s current legislature. Previously, CD controlled Panama\u2019s legislative assembly during the tenures of the country\u2019s two previous presidents.<\/p>\n<p>After the end of his term in 2014,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.thepanamanews.com\/2017\/12\/battle-for-control-of-cambio-democratico\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Democratic Change leader Ricardo Martinelli<\/a>\u00a0had to face a series of judicial inquiries that ultimately led to trial without the possibility of bail. Martinelli was tried by Panama\u2019s supreme court on charges of corruption and illegal wiretapping of political adversaries, journalists and other prominent figures during his tenure.<\/p>\n<p>With an initial arrest warrant issued in 2015, Martinelli was detained by authorities in the US in 2017 and, a year later, extradited to Panama at the national government\u2019s request. As his trial was ongoing, Martinelli was denied the opportunity to participate in Panama City\u2019s local elections. Most recently, in early August of this year, a court found Martinelli\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2019\/aug\/10\/ricardo-martinelli-former-panama-president-not-guilty-of-spying\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">not guilty<\/a>, ending his house arrest.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>President Varela\u2019s Unconventional Path<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Former President Juan Carlos Varela served as vice president to Martinelli between 2009 and 2014 as part of a coalition formed by CD and Varela\u2019s own Paname\u00f1ista. Nevertheless, in the 2014 election, Varela faced off against Martinelli\u2019s CD and defeated the party\u2019s candidate, Jos\u00e9 Domingo Arias. Thus, Martinelli and Varela\u2019s joint political tenure and alliance ended in 2011.<\/p>\n<p>A businessman and engineer,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/harvardpolitics.com\/interviews\/juan-carlos-varela\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Varela<\/a>\u00a0led the Paname\u00f1ista Party, a right-wing political formation founded in 1931. Presided over by Varela between 2006 and 2016, Paname\u00f1ista only held 16 out of 71 seats in the national assembly during his tenure as president. In addition to his weak legislative position, Varela\u2019s government faced harsh criticism for its pro-business legislation and tax reforms, which were perceived as having mostly favored the country\u2019s upper classes and foreign capital. Furthermore, Varela himself, coming from a family of entrepreneurs within the country\u2019s liquor industry, was seen as disconnected from the average citizen.<\/p>\n<div class=\"getty alignleft\">\n<div class=\"getty embed image\">\n<div><a href=\"http:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/1159253127\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Embed from Getty Images<\/a><\/div>\n<div><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/embed.gettyimages.com\/embed\/1159253127?et=pej9ML77Si5YejeHwmemzQ&amp;tld=com&amp;sig=QZpvDKop2426T1CsEas3tQ3dGkPDJWxl5tveRbDBPBI=&amp;caption=false&amp;ver=2\" width=\"525px\" height=\"350px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>During Martinelli\u2019s and Varela\u2019s\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/theglobalamericans.org\/2019\/04\/in-panama-corruption-looms-over-may-presidential-elections\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">tenures<\/a>, Panama maintained its traditional appeal as a geostrategic and financial hub in Central America, while also acting to address international criticism regarding its reputation as a fiscal paradise by implementing new legislation to avoid money laundering and tax evasion schemes.<\/p>\n<p>Simultaneously, in recent years,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.worldbank.org\/ppps\/prioritizing-infrastructure-investments-panama-s-long-term-path-ppps\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">major infrastructure projects<\/a>\u00a0have been successfully developed and ambitiously undertaken throughout Panama. Perhaps the most notable was the expansion of the Panama Canal, which was completed in 2016 after a decade of work and a $6-billion investment. The project that started under the administration of Martin Torrijos in 2006 is considered a turning point for Panama given that it was approved by a national referendum and currently gives the country an undisputed strategic advantage as a crossroads for international maritime trade. Today, as the country celebrates the 20th anniversary of the canal\u2019s 1999 transfer from the US to Panamanian control, the national government\u2019s revenue from transoceanic passages keeps growing.<\/p>\n<p>Another feat completed under President Varela\u2019s watch was the multibillion-dollar\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.frapan-invest.com\/en\/major-infrastructure-projects-in-panama\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">expansion<\/a>\u00a0of Panama City\u2019s metro system, with two lines inaugurated by Varela himself. Construction of a third line is set to begin in 2020 at a total cost of $2 billion in a city that wants to position itself as a globally competitive financial and business hub.<\/p>\n<p>This development frenzy that also envisions a railway line across the canal and another one all the way to the Costa Rican border has not yet led to any major corruption indictments. But the large amounts of contracts being awarded, as well as the impunity that\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fairobserver.com\/region\/latin_america\/peru-corruption-odebrecht-protests-martin-vizcarra-latin-america-news-17625\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">contractors like Odebrecht<\/a>\u00a0have enjoyed in Panama, have certainly contributed to the popularity of Cortizo\u2019s campaign.<\/p>\n<p>Despite coming from different political parties, President Varela gave continuity to most of the projects started by his predecessor, President Martinelli, particularly the urban renovation of the Col\u00f3n Free Trade Zone (FTZ), an important port city along the country\u2019s Caribbean coast. These two projects featured an investment of\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.icij.org\/investigations\/bribery-division\/moustache-little-pillow-among-odebrecht-code-names-revealed-in-new-testimony\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">almost $2 billion<\/a>\u00a0by the scandal-ridden Brazilian contractor, Odebrecht.<\/p>\n<p>The persistent focus on the capital city and large infrastructure projects has become the hallmark of Panama\u2019s political establishment. Despite being a small country, the non-urban regions of Panama, particularly the agricultural provinces, felt abandoned by the city lawyers and bankers.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Panama\u2019s Position in the World<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Even though President Varela\u2019s\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.panamatoday.com\/panama\/varela-government-reaches-its-lowest-acceptance-rate-4759\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">approval rating<\/a>\u00a0was low toward the end of his term,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.panamatoday.com\/economy\/panamas-economy-will-see-light-end-tunnel-2019-8837\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Laurentio Cortizo inherited<\/a>\u00a0a positive\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bnamericas.com\/en\/features\/the-infrastructure-legacy-of-panamas-varela-administration\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">macroeconomic outlook<\/a>. Panama\u2019s credit rating was\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.moodys.com\/research\/Moodys-upgrades-Panamas-ratings-to-Baa1-stable-outlook--PR_395455#targetText=New%20York%2C%20March%2008%2C%202019,rating%20to%20Baa1%20from%20Baa2.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">recently upgraded<\/a>\u00a0by rating agencies, including Moody\u2019s, and both GDP and foreign investment continue to grow.<\/p>\n<p>Simultaneously, issues such as ongoing mass migration from Venezuela and other Central American nations will be high on President Cortizo\u2019s early agenda. Likewise, the Cortizo administration will have to decide what diplomatic role it wants to play within the regional Lima Group set up to resolve the crisis in Venezuela, and how to handle cooperation with Colombia and Costa Rica in the fight against illegal smuggling, human trafficking and money laundering.<\/p>\n<p>Besides being Central America\u2019s financial hub, Panama has increased its participation in recent years across various multilateral organizations. From hosting Pope Francis as part of the 2019 World Youth Day to acknowledging Juan Guaid\u00f3 as Venezuela\u2019s legitimate president, Varela has been active in regional politics.<\/p>\n<p>However, Varela\u2019s most significant foreign policy feat was Panama\u2019s severing its\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/world-latin-america-40256499\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">historic diplomatic ties<\/a>\u00a0with\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2017\/06\/13\/world\/asia\/taiwan-panama-china-diplomatic-recognition.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Taiwan<\/a>. In 2017, having for decades been one of the last countries in the world that did not recognize Beijing\u2019s authority over Taiwan, known officially as the Republic of China, Panama established formal relations with the Chinese. For a country with close historic and economic ties to the United States, Panama\u2019s open-door policy toward mainland China in recent months has provoked nervousness.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, during Chinese President Xi Jinping\u2019s first-ever official visit to Panama last year, President Varela discussed free trade agreement negotiations as well as Chinese investment in major infrastructure projects such as a fourth bridge across the canal, a railroad from Panama City to the country\u2019s second-largest city, David, and two new harbors for tourism and commerce.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>2019 Elections<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>In 2018, as the presidential campaign was picking, Panama experienced a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/data.worldbank.org\/indicator\/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?locations=PA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">lower-than-average rate of economic growth<\/a>. This dynamic, along with a national sentiment of excessive government centralization around urban centers and willful neglect of the country\u2019s agribusiness sectors, ultimately led to the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bizlatinhub.com\/new-president-in-panama-what-does-this-mean-for-business\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">election of Laurentino Cortizo<\/a>.<\/p>\n<div class=\"getty alignright\">\n<div class=\"getty embed image\">\n<div><a href=\"http:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/1159128159\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Embed from Getty Images<\/a><\/div>\n<div><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/embed.gettyimages.com\/embed\/1159128159?et=MeSydV69QYRhQ-duVDrb5g&amp;tld=com&amp;sig=eBaS7nPv-6qWytqtvOCxw_N2ekTe14XWeZyOEeANaJI=&amp;caption=false&amp;ver=2\" width=\"525px\" height=\"350px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Cortizo, a former congressman and minister, won with 33% of the vote despite losing in the country\u2019s most populated urban provinces, including Panama City. In addition to its victory in the executive branch, the PRD controls 35 of 71 seats in Panama\u2019s national assembly, giving the president a good position to advance his government\u2019s agenda.<\/p>\n<p>The new government will face some challenges in implementing its promises, however. Currently, some of its main projects include reforming the national constitution, in place since 1972 (when Panama did not even control the canal zone), transforming the social security and educational systems, and battling corruption. Likewise, the new administration will have to provide continuity to some (but not all) of the contracts and projects inherited from Martinelli and Varela, totaling over $5 billion.<\/p>\n<p>Thus far, President Cortizo has chosen his ministers and cabinet, while his party prepares to present bills to the legislative assembly. Another foreign and domestic policy issue that Cortizo will have to address relates to the Venezuelan crisis and migration into Panama.<\/p>\n<p>Cortizo\u2019s new government seems set on fighting the excessive centralization and unequal wealth distribution in a country of 4 million people. In this regard, the census planned for 2020 is set to be a turning point for the national administration in how it is going to deal with resources, planning and economic forecasts.<\/p>\n<p>Having just celebrated the fifth centennial of Panama City\u2019s foundation, the election of a new leader with a broader national agenda is a reminder that the country extends well beyond the canal, the banks and the law firms that have for decades dominated the country\u2019s policy and discourse. President Cortizo\u2019s administration will certainly face challenges on many fronts. However, reviving Panama\u2019s important agroindustry, boosting its commodity exports and refocusing foreign policy on hemispheric priorities are all steps in the right direction.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The views expressed in this article are the author\u2019s own and do not necessarily reflect Fair Observer\u2019s editorial policy.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<div class=\"wpcf7 no-js\" id=\"wpcf7-f16536-o1\" lang=\"\" dir=\"ltr\" data-wpcf7-id=\"16536\">\n<div class=\"screen-reader-response\"><p role=\"status\" aria-live=\"polite\" aria-atomic=\"true\"><\/p> <ul><\/ul><\/div>\n<form action=\"\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27034#wpcf7-f16536-o1\" method=\"post\" class=\"wpcf7-form init\" aria-label=\"Contact form\" novalidate=\"novalidate\" data-status=\"init\">\n<fieldset class=\"hidden-fields-container\"><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"_wpcf7\" value=\"16536\" \/><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"_wpcf7_version\" value=\"6.1.6\" \/><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"_wpcf7_locale\" value=\"\" \/><input 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a<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[242,12,241,39,248,34,33,62,42,219,11,249,243,7,255,246,244,44],"class_list":["post-27034","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news-articles-panama-perpsective","tag-boca-chica-real-estate","tag-boquete","tag-boquete-real-estate","tag-buenaventura","tag-casco","tag-casco-antiguo","tag-casco-viejo","tag-coffee-in-panama","tag-estate-homes-in-panama","tag-move-to-panama","tag-offshore-real-estate","tag-panama-offshore-real-estate","tag-panama-papers","tag-panama-real-estate","tag-panama-real-estate-bocas-del-toro","tag-relocate-to-panama","tag-rum-in-panama","tag-travel-to-panama"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.7 (Yoast SEO v27.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ 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