{"id":25829,"date":"2019-04-22T09:38:00","date_gmt":"2019-04-22T14:38:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/?p=25829"},"modified":"2019-04-22T09:38:00","modified_gmt":"2019-04-22T14:38:00","slug":"pompeo-achieve-trip-latin-america","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/pompeo-achieve-trip-latin-america\/","title":{"rendered":"What Did Pompeo Achieve on His Trip to Latin America?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The Dialogue looks at what Pompeo achieve on his trip.<\/p>\n

U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo this month made a four-day visit to Latin America, with stops in Chile, Paraguay, Peru and Colombia. During the trip, Pompeo reiterated the Trump administration\u2019s call for a political transition in Venezuela. What did Pompeo accomplish on the trip? Is Washington\u2019s push to end Venezuelan President Nicol\u00e1s Maduro\u2019s rule working? Should the Trump administration be doing more to help Venezuelan migrants who have sought refuge in the United States?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ray Walser, retired U.S. Foreign Service officer and former Latin American policy analyst at the Heritage Foundation:<\/strong>\u201cThe brief South American circuit ride by Secretary Pompeo occurred almost three months after the United States, the Lima Group and dozens of other nations recognized National Assembly President Juan Guaid\u00f3 as Venezuela\u2019s legitimate president. Pompeo undertook the trip to reinforce diplomatic support for Guaid\u00f3 and for a policy of maximum political and economic pressure aimed at forcing Nicol\u00e1s Maduro to step aside and open a pathway to a democratic transition. According to press accounts, the backing of all four countries remains solid. In addition to a symbolic visit to the Colombia-Venezuela border, Pompeo most likely solicited fresh ideas for peaceful means to unseat Maduro as frustrations mount over an unsustainable standoff in a failing Venezuela. The secretary firmly rejected suggestions that U.S. sanctions are contributing to the humanitarian crisis, saying \u2018a hundred percent of the refugee challenge \u2026 is the direct result of the Russians, the Cubans and Nicol\u00e1s Maduro.\u2019 With the Venezuelan military showing no imminent signs of turning against Maduro, senior administration officials\u2014Pompeo in Latin America, Vice President Pence at the United Nations, special envoy Elliott Abrams in Washington along with National Security Advisor John Bolton\u2014seek additional means short of military intervention to end the Venezuelan nightmare. Bolton\u2019s speech to Bay of Pigs veterans on Wednesday unveiled additional measures aimed at weakening Cuban support for Maduro. In dealing with Latin American refugees in the United States, the Trump administration treads a fine line, including questions of moral disparity, between a hardline stance on Central American border crossers, refugees and asylum seekers and presumed sympathy for the plight of Venezuelans fleeing repression, crime and poverty at home. Temporary Protected Status for Venezuelans has earned bipartisan support but remains lodged on the congressional agenda.\u201d<\/p>\n

Geoff Ramsey, assistant director for Venezuela at the Washington Office on Latin
\nAmerica: \u201c<\/strong>Secretary Pompeo\u2019s trip served as a reminder of the failure of the Trump administration\u2019s strategy on Venezuela, and there are signs of cracks in regional support for U.S. policy. Privately, Latin American diplomats are growing annoyed by their U.S. counterparts consistently turning the conversation to Venezuela\u2014even in meetings that begin on unrelated topics. The Chilean government\u2019s subtle shift in recent days has been a clear sign of this dynamic. While Chilean President Sebasti\u00e1n Pi\u00f1era remains an active participant in the Lima Group, he has recently embraced the International Contact Group (ICG). The ICG, which Washington does not view particularly favorably, has an explicit mandate to pursue separate negotiations with both Maduro and the opposition in pursuit of free and fair elections. After sending a representative to the ICG\u2019s March 28 meeting in Quito, Pi\u00f1era has called for \u2018greater unity\u2019 with the ICG mission. This, paired with the Lima Group\u2019s continued reluctance to follow the United States in implementing sanctions and its outright condemnation of a \u2018military option,\u2019 is a sign that Latin America\u2019s patience for U.S.-Venezuela policy is thinning. More urgent, for Latin American governments, is addressing the needs of the 3.7 million Venezuelans who have fled their country. However, after rolling out new promises of regional aid for displaced Venezuelans on a near monthly basis in 2018, the Trump administration has grown noticeably silent on the issue. If the White House wants to continue to enjoy the support of Latin American governments, it will have to show renewed commitment to funding the regional response to this exodus.\u201d<\/p>\n

Francisco Durand, professor of political science at the Catholic University of Peru:<\/strong> \u201cI hate Maduro but I do not like American intervention in Venezuela,\u2019 a Venezuelan immigrant in Peru told me when the \u2018humanitarian crisis\u2019 started. The opinion summarizes well the predominant state of opinion in Latin America at a moment the U.S. offensive has lost momentum and any hint of intervention is silently opposed by many countries, the Brazilian military in particular, a crucial player if the military intervention card crystalizes. Let\u2019s not forget that no Latin American country has ever invaded another to provoke regime change. Pompeo\u2019s trip is an attempt to keep the Lima Group alive at a moment that another front is opening in Peru and Colombia, the main recipients of more than three million Venezuelan migrants whose presence exerts tremendous pressure on the poor and the
\nunderpaid, the ones being displaced by super cheap labor from Venezuela. So there are two problems that will worsen as time passes, one in Venezuela (where Maduro survives but feels the brunt of the economic oil revenue embargo) and those who accept the Venezuelan migrants. Pompeo\u2019s $30 million offer to Peru (which has 740,000 Venezuelan migrants) is an indication that the United States is trying new ways to keep the front united. In the meantime, Guaid\u00f3\u2019s \u2018no dialogue\u2019 position results in him losing support, and the Mexican and Uruguayan proposal to start a dialogue (that will give Maduro extra time) seems now more attractive than before. The crisis is just beginning.\u201d<\/p>\n

Brian Turner, chair of the Department of Political Science at Randolph-Macon College: <\/strong>\u201cSecretary Pompeo\u2019s visit to Paraguay was clearly a reward to the country for having not only recognized Juan Guaid\u00f3 as interim president of Venezuela but also having cut diplomatic ties with Caracas. Foreign Minister Luis Castiglioni referred to the visit as \u2018strong backing,\u2019 and reportedly President Mario Abdo Ben\u00edtez will meet with President Trump this summer. When the press asked Castiglioni if Paraguay would support military intervention in Venezuela, he said \u2018It\u2019s going to be the Venezuelans themselves \u2026 who will really liberate their country from tyranny, with the cooperation and help of the U.S., of Paraguay and all the other countries in the world.\u2019 Castiglioni denied to local press that Pompeo had made any request for Paraguayan support for an eventual military intervention in Venezuela, but did not answer questions about whether Paraguay would support this. Pompeo also praised Paraguay\u2019s \u2018warm relations\u2019 (and diplomatic recognition) with Taiwan and warned against Beijing\u2019s \u2018predatory practices.\u2019 Pompeo pressed Paraguay on fighting criminal and terrorist activity in the Tri-Border region, and improving transparency and fighting corruption. Pompeo said Paraguay has made good efforts but \u2018there is much work still to be done\u2019 to address concerns about money laundering and support for Hezbollah in the Tri-Border region. Not mentioned in public documents was any discussion by Pompeo about Abdo\u2019s reversal of his predecessor Horacio Cartes\u2019 move of the embassy in Israel to Jerusalem, or accusations surrounding people close to Cartes of smuggling and money laundering. This visit took place the same week that Abdo and Cartes negotiated a political pact between their factions of the ruling Colorado Party.\u201d<\/p>\n

Maria Velez de Berliner, managing director of RTG-Red Team Group, Inc.: <\/strong>\u201cThe exigencies of Trump\u2019s re-election will drive U.S. action on Venezuela. Nothing the United States, Juan Guaid\u00f3 or Colombia have done has dislodged Maduro and his military. As Venezuelans\u2019 struggle for survival increases, Guaid\u00f3\u2019s shine dims. It seems no one has yet devised a reality-based plan that responds to what plan B is if Maduro doesn\u2019t leave and who can effectively unite, govern and rebuild a bankrupt and politically riven Venezuela. Short of a direct military intervention, it seems U.S. nonmilitary options decrease as Maduro remains in power. Let\u2019s not overlook that Russia, Cuba, Iran, China and Turkey, embedded in Venezuela\u2019s military, intelligence and what remains of a national economy, count heavily when considering any U.S. military option. What Trump\u2019s administration and Latin America does not need is a Venezuelan internecine war that turns into a regional conflict involving exogenous adversaries of the United States. The solution to Venezuela rests on in-country Venezuelans alone. Trump\u2019s threatened military intervention will not restore Venezuela to pre-Ch\u00e1vez\/Maduro times. Maduro still has powerful supporters within the high ranks of Venezuela\u2019s military, his Colectivos and Militias Bolivarianas, and those who have become criminally wealthy during Ch\u00e1vez\u2019s and Maduro\u2019s regimes. Rather than threats, the Trump administration should be negotiating a satisfactory exit for Diosdado Cabello and Vladimir Padrino. Maduro will leave with them, hopefully without a bloodbath in Venezuela. Trump\u2019s expected military intervention will help neither Guaid\u00f3, who cannot afford to be seen as the \u2018U.S. Man in Venezuela\u2019 nor the face of current or future policies of the United States in Latin America.\u201d<\/p>\n

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    The Dialogue looks at what Pompeo achieve on his trip. U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo this month<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[242,12,241,39,248,34,33,62,42,219,11,249,243,7,255,246,244,44],"class_list":["post-25829","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news-articles-panama-perpsective","tag-boca-chica-real-estate","tag-boquete","tag-boquete-real-estate","tag-buenaventura","tag-casco","tag-casco-antiguo","tag-casco-viejo","tag-coffee-in-panama","tag-estate-homes-in-panama","tag-move-to-panama","tag-offshore-real-estate","tag-panama-offshore-real-estate","tag-panama-papers","tag-panama-real-estate","tag-panama-real-estate-bocas-del-toro","tag-relocate-to-panama","tag-rum-in-panama","tag-travel-to-panama"],"yoast_head":"\nWhat Did Pompeo Achieve on His Trip to Latin America? - Blog and Newsletter<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/pompeo-achieve-trip-latin-america\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What Did Pompeo Achieve on His Trip to Latin America?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Dialogue looks at what Pompeo achieve on his trip. 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