{"id":10391,"date":"2014-05-27T11:33:33","date_gmt":"2014-05-27T16:33:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/?p=10391"},"modified":"2014-05-28T12:12:04","modified_gmt":"2014-05-28T17:12:04","slug":"as-latin-american-economic-growth-slows-regional-economies-are-at-a-crossroads","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/as-latin-american-economic-growth-slows-regional-economies-are-at-a-crossroads\/","title":{"rendered":"As Latin American economic growth slows, regional economies are at a crossroads"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

While Panama’s growth has fallen from double digits in the last few years, The International Monetary Fund is calculating this year\u2019s GDP growth at 6.9 percent, the highest in the whole of Latin America.\u00a0 Here is an interesting article written by Mimi Whitefield for The Miami Herald on the subject of slowing growth.<\/p>\n

\n

Latin America\u2019s \u201cgolden decade\u201d of growth, fueled by a global credit bubble and commodity boom, has faded and now the countries of the region are facing difficult questions about their economic future.<\/p>\n

As a result of that decade of strong growth, \u201cstructurally, Latin America is a different region today, but it\u2019s at a crossroads,\u201d said Augusto de la Torre, the World Bank\u2019s chief economist for Latin America and the Caribbean.<\/p>\n

The problem is that \u201cthere is no way in the world Latin America can continue delivering the same level of services it did in the high-growth years,\u201d said de la Torre, who was the keynote speaker Thursday at the University of Miami Center for Hemispheric Policy\u2019s Ninth Annual Latin America Symposium at the Conrad Hotel in downtown Miami.<\/p>\n

After economic growth of 5.9 percent in 2010 and growth that topped 4 percent in 2011, the outlook is no longer as sanguine.<\/p>\n

The Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean is predicting 2.7 percent growth for the region this year \u2014 slightly better than 2013\u2019s 2.5 percent. But some of the region\u2019s large economies are looking anemic: Brazil (projected growth of 2.3 percent) and Argentina (1 percent). The Venezuelan economy is forecast to shrink by 0.5 percent.<\/p>\n

Now the region will have to find a \u201csource of growth within their own countries\u201d because they can no longer count on the global tailwinds of positive commodity and credit cycles, said Tony Volpon, who heads emerging-market research for the Americas at Nomura Securities International.<\/p>\n

In this current \u201clow-growth period,\u201d Latin America also will face special challenges if current pessimism about the world economy proves to be true, said Volpon.<\/p>\n

Despite the slowdown, de la Torre does not see Latin America going back to its previous cycles of instability and financial crisis.<\/p>\n

\u201cI think Latin America has built a better immune system,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n

But a key factor going forward, said de la Torre, will be creating greater access to opportunity for all Latin Americans and eliminating the perception that society is rigged against those who are born poor.<\/p>\n

One way to do that is by improving the public education system. \u201cIn Latin America, our public education system stinks,\u201d de la Torre said bluntly.<\/p>\n

Ironically, the pillars of the region\u2019s success over the past 10 to 15 years are now putting it in a \u201cpredicament of which there is no easy way out,\u201d said Jorge Casta\u00f1eda, former Mexican foreign minister and now a professor at New York University.<\/p>\n

As Latin America has become more democratic and the fruits of its success have been more equitably distributed, it has given rise to a larger middle class and reduced poverty, he said. That, in turn, has created rising expectations at a time when economic growth is slowing.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, democratic institutions that worked well in elections are now perceived as \u201cineffective in dealing with popular demands,\u201d and people are getting \u201cfed up with corruption,\u201d Casta\u00f1eda said.<\/p>\n

In Brazil, for example, he said, people feel they pay high taxes and get \u201cFourth World-style services.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cThese things lead to the frustration and anger of the middle classes,\u201d Casta\u00f1eda said.<\/p>\n

In Brazil, that has brimmed over into massive street protests aimed at everything from government corruption and the poor quality of public education and healthcare to the high costs of preparing for the next month\u2019s World Cup soccer championship.<\/p>\n

Latin America societies, he said, are more intolerant of inequities now \u2014 although they are probably more equitable now than at any point in their histories, Casta\u00f1eda said.<\/p>\n

Once Latin countries figure out how to reignite growth, they will find that if they don\u2019t also improve social institutions, their growth will not be sustained, de la Torre said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

While Panama’s growth has fallen from double digits in the last few years, The International Monetary Fund is<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10391","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news-articles-panama-perpsective"],"yoast_head":"\nAs Latin American economic growth slows, regional economies are at a crossroads - Blog and Newsletter<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/panamaadvisoryinternationalgroup.com\/blog\/as-latin-american-economic-growth-slows-regional-economies-are-at-a-crossroads\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" 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